Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.738513 4.000610 4.279852 4.600851 4.961354 5.355722 5.822506
2025-06-29 3.247322 3.600204 3.998299 4.485660 5.073279 5.768417 6.667828
2025-07-06 2.953081 3.349636 3.814132 4.407737 5.160514 6.104486 7.414576
2025-07-13 2.762145 3.189279 3.704645 4.386589 5.288683 6.478570 8.238557
2025-07-20 2.652905 3.112507 3.682195 4.460834 5.533270 7.020394 9.369680
2025-07-27 2.570560 3.059082 3.679456 4.552957 5.802689 7.622114 10.695484
2025-08-03 2.468114 2.970433 3.620790 4.558940 5.944365 8.047377 11.819314
2025-08-10 2.352834 2.856575 3.518719 4.492405 5.967635 8.285924 12.664229
2025-08-17 2.234524 2.731540 3.392660 4.379801 5.906667 8.375571 13.247458
2025-08-24 2.144870 2.640131 3.306928 4.318283 5.916658 8.580681 14.096053
2025-08-31 2.096204 2.601625 3.292049 4.359400 6.091719 9.091534 15.704763
2025-09-07 2.041851 2.552167 3.258059 4.367624 6.211417 9.517058 17.250140
2025-09-14 1.939747 2.434276 3.123209 4.216492 6.058245 9.428622 17.603480
2025-09-21 1.861579 2.347547 3.030433 4.126848 6.005389 9.532715 18.496715
2025-09-28 1.795574 2.275185 2.954933 4.059104 5.983509 9.693664 19.599546
2025-10-05 1.747556 2.226487 2.911970 4.040561 6.047211 10.039664 21.369783
2025-10-12 1.724474 2.212597 2.920156 4.105778 6.270402 10.765221 24.678876
2025-10-19 1.706542 2.205186 2.937360 4.186588 6.531292 11.628809 29.052748
2025-10-26 1.671722 2.171292 2.911706 4.191832 6.644512 12.167162 32.622588
2025-11-02 1.624404 2.117056 2.851791 4.133486 6.623870 12.369716 34.930306
2025-11-09 1.570550 2.051372 2.771356 4.034597 6.511694 12.319657 36.050129
2025-11-16 1.529379 2.003612 2.717659 3.980495 6.488442 12.503217 38.538212
2025-11-23 1.509862 1.987956 2.714473 4.016661 6.659132 13.249671 44.946150